Match Info

J3 League - Round 16

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Kochi United

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.98	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2	3.64	3.51
				Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	1.99	3.49	3.55	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.1)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.39 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
45.3%

Draw
27.8%

Kochi United
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.6%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Kochi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Sagamihara - Kochi United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kochi United will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 3. Pytlik K. 33. Tokida M. 2. Kato D. 18. Miki K. 4. Shimakawa T. (C) 24. Sugimoto R. 8. Osako R. 17. Takeuchi T. 9. Rafael Furtado 11. Muto Y.	41. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 25. Imai N. 37. Fukagawa D. 38. Suzuki S. 16. Kozuki S. 24. Okazawa H. 19. Mizuno H. 66. Miyoshi R. 8. Takano Y. 18. Toya T. 9. Shintani M.
Substitutes
22. Fukui K. 23. Kato T. 1. Miura M. (G) 36. Nakashio D. 27. Nishiyama T. 14. Takagi A. 5. Tashiro M. 6. Tokunaga Y. 54. Watahiki K.	7. Kanehara A. 4. Kobayashi D. 88. Kudo M. 1. Kurokawa R. (G) 28. Park S. 10. Sasaki T. 20. Sugiyama R. 26. Suto N. 29. Uchida Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Okazawa H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Shimakawa T. 🟨,
55', Rafael Furtado 🟨,
58', Imai N. 🟨,
59', Rafael Furtado ↓, Kato T. ↑,
62', Takano Y. ↓, Sasaki T. ↑,
71', Muto Y. ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
71', Miki K. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
71', Mizuno H. ↓, Kanehara A. ↑,
71', Shintani M. ↓, Sugiyama R. ↑,
85', Osako R. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
85', Sugimoto R. ↓, Nakashio D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Júbilo Iwata - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
07.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara	4:2 ✺
01.06.25	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	3:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Sagamihara - Osaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WLTWL
- Kochi United
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Vissel Kobe - Kochi United	4:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
08.06.25	Kochi United - Nara Club	3:2 ✺
01.06.25	Gifu - Kochi United	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	2:3 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kochi United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTWT

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