The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Júbilo Iwata 56.7%
Draw 24.8%
Sagamihara 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
19.6%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.1%
19%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Júbilo Iwata's form might have worsened.
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sagamihara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagamihara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Júbilo Iwata - Sagamihara Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
28. Nishizawa T. (G) 46. Ishizuka R. 45. Kai Y. 38. Kawaguchi N. (C) 33. Kawai T. 2. Kawasaki I. 11. Matheus Peixoto 3. Morioka R. 26. Nishikubo S. 65. Nishioka K. 9. Watanabe R.
46. Baumann N. (G) 22. Fukui K. 2. Kato D. 23. Kato T. 27. Nishiyama T. 3. Pytlik K. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A. 25. Tanaka R. 33. Tokida M. (C) 6. Tokunaga Y.
Substitutes
5. Ezaki T. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 58. Kouga M. 71. Masui K. 4. Matsubara K. 56. Ozawa Y. 20. Sato R. 39. Sumi K. 57. Takasawa K.
31. Inose K. (G) 18. Miki K. 11. Muto Y. 36. Nakashio D. 8. Osako R. 9. Rafael Furtado 4. Shimakawa T. 17. Takeuchi T. 54. Watahiki K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Shimakawa T. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Kawasaki I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tanaka R. ↓, Takeuchi T. ↑,
46', Watanabe R. ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
60', Ishizuka R. ↓, Masui K. ↑,
60', Matheus Peixoto ↓, Sato R. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Takagi A. (Pen),
65', Kato T. ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
69', Tokida M. 🟨,
70', Kai Y. ↓, Ezaki T. ↑,
70', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Osako R. ↑,
70', Takagi A. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
73', Sugimoto R. ↓, Nakashio D. ↑,
75', Nishioka K. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
88', Sato R. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Rafael Furtado ⚽,
90+5', Rafael Furtado 🟨,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Iwata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Iwata is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Iwata won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.