Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	14:30	SuperSport 4
Argentina	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	22:30	ESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	14:30	DAZN
Belgium	14:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, Play Sports 4
Brazil	09:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	15:30	Ring, Voyo
Canada	08:30	Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Chile	09:30	Disney+
Colombia	07:30	Disney+
Croatia	14:30	SportKlub 7
Cyprus	15:30	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
France	14:30	DAZN France
Germany	14:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	15:30	Nova Sports 4
India	18:00	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	19:30	Vidio
Israel	15:30	Sport 4
Italy	14:30	Como TV
Japan	21:30	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	18:30	Setanta Sports
Kenya	15:30	Gotv
Kosovo	14:30	Arena Premium 1
Malaysia	20:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	06:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	14:30	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	13:30	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Peru	07:30	Disney+
Poland	14:30	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	13:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	15:30	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	15:30	TV Start
Serbia	14:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	14:30	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	14:30	Sport TV3
South Africa	14:30	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	14:30	Gol Play, GolStadium
Suriname	09:30	SCCN
Switzerland	14:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	15:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
United Arab Emirates	16:30	Dubai Sports 2
United Kingdom	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:30	Disney+
Usa	08:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:30	Disney+
International	12:30	Triller TV+


	PSV Eindhoven		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.45	4.9
	1.61	4.59	5.17
	1.62	4.62	4.36	Watch
	1.66	4.67	4.69	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	4.44 ↑ (3.98)	4.73 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
58.4%

Draw
21.5%

Ajax
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.2%

23.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	10.5%	15.8%

PSV Eindhoven - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1 - PSV (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Ajax (3.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ajax (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - PSV (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 3 - 50%). Ajax (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 6. Flamingo R. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 22. Schouten J. (C) 34. Saibari I. 23. Veerman J. 5. Perisic I. 9. Pepi R. 7. van Bommel R.	1. Jaros V. (G) 2. Rosa L. 4. Itakura K. 15. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 6. Regeer Y. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 8. Taylor K. 17. Edvardsen O. 9. Dolberg K. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
19. Bajraktarevic E. 11. Driouech C. 31. Fernandez N. 27. Man D. 17. Mauro Junior 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 1. Olij N. (G) 24. Schiks N. (G) 20. Til G. 10. Wanner P.	23. Berghuis S. 30. Bouwman A. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 3. Gaaei A. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 19. Konadu D. 16. McConnell J. 24. Mokio J. 7. Moro R. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 37. Sutalo J.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Heitinga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Saibari I. ⚽, Perisic I. (A),
18', Wijndal O. 🟨,
21', Perisic I. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Taylor K. (Pen),
40', van Bommel R. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dolberg K. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
50', Regeer Y. 🟨,
65', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
68', Regeer Y. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
69', Wijndal O. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
69', Dest S. ↓, Mauro Junior ↑,
69', Schouten J. ↓, Til G. ↑,
72', Taylor K. 🟨,
74', Edvardsen O. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Gasiorowski Y. ⚽, Mauro Junior (A),
85', Rosa L. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
88', Veerman J. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Gloukh O. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
90+2', Fitz-Jim K. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, PSV is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Mauro Junior (Ankle Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Injury)

There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Health problems) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Boadu M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Taylor K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:5 ✺
30.08.25	PSV Eindhoven - Telstar	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	4:2 ✺
17.08.25	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Ajax - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.25	Ajax - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Volendam - Ajax	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Ajax - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
30.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	0:2
02.11.24	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	3:2
03.02.24	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:1
29.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	5:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.04.23	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 penalties
Dutch Eredivisie
23.04.23	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	3:0
06.11.22	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:2

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