Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Peru	14:00	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Football, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus, ON Sport


	Bayer Leverkusen		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.9	3.7
	1.95	3.85	3.75
	1.98	3.9	3.87
	4.78	1.40	7.16	Watch
	1.94	3.97	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.87)	3.4 ↓ (4.13)	4.45 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
43.4%

Draw
32.1%

PSV Eindhoven
24.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

23.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

22.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.1%	16.4%	11.5%

Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 44 - 73.3%). PSV will win (votes: 6 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 62.1% – 84.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 22 - 73.3%). PSV (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - PSV (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Bayer (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Bayer (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 24 - 72.7%). PSV (votes: 2 - 6.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 16. Tape A. 24. Garcia A. 6. Fernandez E. 20. Grimaldo A. (C) 10. Tillman M. 19. Poku E. 35. Kofane C. M.	32. Kovar M. (G) 17. Mauro Junior 4. Obispo A. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 34. Saibari I. 22. Schouten J. (C) 23. Veerman J. 27. Man D. 20. Til G. 5. Perisic I.
Substitutes
13. Arthur 44. Belocian J. 17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 9. Echeverri C. 38. Izekor K. 36. Lomb N. (G) 30. Maza I.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 11. Driouech C. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 39. Nagalo A. 1. Olij N. (G) 24. Schiks N. (G) 40. van Duiven R. 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Hjulmand K.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Tape A. ↓, Arthur ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Til G. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Kofane C. M. ⚽,
66', Obispo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Saibari I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
73', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
73', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
73', Poku E. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
80', Kofane C. M. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
80', Tillman M. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
90+2', Saibari I. 🟨,

Preview

Bayer is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PSV has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayer is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bayer: Hofmann J. (Inactive) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (International duty) Schick P. (Muscle Injury) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Muscle Injury) Dest S. (Health problems) Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Muscle Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Muscle Injury) Waayers E. (Calf Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Copenhagen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTWT
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.25	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:5 ✺
30.08.25	PSV Eindhoven - Telstar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLWL

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