Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Águilas		Deportivo Toledo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7
	1.9	3	3.95
	2.04	3.15	3.35
	2.12	3.13	3.65
	2.05	3.22	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.86)	3.1 ↓ (3.34)	3.64 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
45.4%

Draw
29.5%

Deportivo Toledo
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

18.6%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Toledo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águilas - Deportivo Toledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Águilas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Toledo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Toledo have a series of home games.

Águilas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Águilas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.01.22	Mancha Real - Águilas	5:0 ✺
09.01.22	Águilas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Melilla - Águilas	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Águilas - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Hércules - Águilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL
- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.01.22	Deportivo Toledo - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.22	Deportivo Toledo - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.01.22	Deportivo Toledo - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
19.12.21	Hércules - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Deportivo Toledo - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.09.21	Deportivo Toledo - Águilas	0:1

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