Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 22

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)


	Ñublense		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.1
	1.75	3.7	4.15
	1.71	4.23	4.45
	1.28	5.35	9.65	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.8	3.72	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.84)	4 ↑ (3.58)	5.01 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
57%

Draw
23.9%

Unión Española
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Ñublense - Unión Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 18. Cerezo B. 6. Calderon P. 4. Bosso Torres O. 14. Campusano J. 21. Reyes L. (C) 20. Mateos F. 22. Plaza M. 8. Graciani G. 12. Rubio P. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B.	1. Parra M. (G) 2. Contreras K. 4. Celis M. 21. Formiliano F. 29. Tamayo B. 5. Nadruz A. 6. Jauregui B. 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 23. Jeraldino I. 9. Insaurralde C. 24. Norambuena G.
Substitutes
27. Gonzalez R. 2. Labrin C. 28. Molina L. 11. Sanchez P. 16. Sanhueza D. 30. Tapia D. (G) 5. Valencia E.	8. Carvallo U. B. A. 25. Castellani G. 20. Marin M. 13. Pereira S. 34. Ratotti F. 12. Uribe E. (G) 19. Vejar B.
Coaches
Fuentes R.	Ramirez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Celis M. 🟥,
25', Cerezo B. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Rubio P. ⚽, Cerezo B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Insaurralde C. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
56', Cerezo B. 🟨,
58', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
62', Jauregui B. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
64', Plaza M. 🟨,
64', Calderon P. 🟨,
64', Castellani G. 🟨,
70', Ratotti F. 🟨,
71', Nadruz A. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Marin M. ⚽, Jeraldino I. (A),
79', 1 - 2, Aranguiz P. ⚽, Ratotti F. (A),
85', Aranguiz P. ↓, Pereira S. ↑,
89', Sanhueza D. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.

Ñublense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Unión Española's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ñublense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ñublense is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
24.08.25	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Ñublense - Palestino	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Deportes Limache - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWWT
- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
23.08.25	Universidad Católica - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Universidad de Chile - Unión Española	4:1 ✺
02.08.25	Unión Española - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Palestino - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
14.04.25	Unión Española - Ñublense	3:0
22.08.24	Ñublense - Unión Española	0:0
31.03.24	Unión Española - Ñublense	5:3
06.07.23	Ñublense - Unión Española	0:1
20.01.23	Unión Española - Ñublense	0:1
14.08.22	Ñublense - Unión Española	1:2
21.03.22	Unión Española - Ñublense	1:0

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