The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
İstanbul Başakşehir 36.4%
Draw 29.9%
Fiorentina 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
28.4%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
29.8%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbul Başakşehir's performance.
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorentina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbul Başakşehir that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.3%
27.1%
28.6%
İstanbul Başakşehir - Fiorentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
70 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 31 - 44.3%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 20 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 27.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 32.7% – 55.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Başakşehir has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (49%), has a chance of 2nd (38%), has a small chance of 3rd (11%), has a good chance of round of 16 (68%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Fiorentina has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (45%), has a chance of 2nd (38%), has a small chance of 3rd (13%), has a good chance of round of 16 (70%), has a chance of qtrs (44%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
This event has quality61, importance42, match rating52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Başakşehir in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Fiorentina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Başakşehir could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G.
(Knee Injury)
Duncan A.
(Injury)
Milenkovic N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Gonzalez N.
(Injury)
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