Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	İstanbul Başakşehir		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.25	1.36
	7.25	5	1.4
	8.25	5.45	1.43
	7	5.2	1.39
	7.52	5.34	1.42
	7.5	5	1.4
	7.5	5.35	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.5 ↑ (7.1)	5.23 ↑ (4.81)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
12.8%

Draw
18.4%

RB Leipzig
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

19.9%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

12%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-28.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.3%	6.7%	83.9%

İstanbul Başakşehir - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (162 of 193 users predict this - 83.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.76% – 89.12%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Başakşehir has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

RB Leipzig has a good chance of round of 16 (52%), has a chance of qtrs (23%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Başakşehir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RB Leipzig is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match RB Leipzig is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
28.11.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Denizlispor	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.11.20	Manchester United - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.11.20	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:2 ✺
08.11.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLLWW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
28.11.20	RB Leipzig - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.11.20	Paris Saint-Germain - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.11.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.20	RB Leipzig - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.10.20	RB Leipzig - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0

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