The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paris Saint-Germain 62%
Draw 21.3%
RB Leipzig 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.6%
18.2%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78.8%
15.8%
11.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.
RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.1%
4.7%
11.2%
Paris Saint Germain - RB Leipzig Predictions
Users Predictions:
Paris Saint-Germain will win
(195 of 232 users predict this - 84.05%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.34% – 88.76%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
PSG has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (45%), has a chance of 3rd (20%), has a good chance of round of 16 (72%), has a chance of qtrs (36%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
RB Leipzig has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (4%), has a chance of 2nd (16%), has a chance of 3rd (31%), has a chance of round of 16 (20%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
PSG is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently RB Leipzig have a series of home games.
In this match PSG is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.53.
Last 4 head-to-head matches PSG won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.