Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.2
	1.87	3.85	3.3
	1.82	4.15	3.58	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.06)	3.9 ↑ (3.67)	3.36 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
49.2%

Draw
23.5%

Toulouse
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Başakşehir is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toulouse is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Toulouse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Başakşehir have a series of home games.

Başakşehir will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Club Friendly
10.12.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Westerlo	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
12.11.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	0:7 ✺
07.11.22	Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.11.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Hearts	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.10.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWW
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
12.11.22	Rennes - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Toulouse - Monaco	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Lens - Toulouse	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Toulouse - Strasbourg	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Toulouse - Angers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLTW

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