Match Info

HNL - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek)

Referee: Culina A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Osijek		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	1.95
	3.65	3.2	2.02
	3.75	3.41	2.04
	3.67	3.4	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.66	3.3	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.23)	3.27 ↑ (3.22)	2.02 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
25.5%

Draw
28.4%

Hajduk Split
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.5%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	9.5%	85.7%

Osijek - Hajduk Split Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Osijek (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Hajduk (4.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hajduk Split will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hajduk Split will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Osijek (votes: 2 - 25%). Hajduk (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Curcija N. (G) 29. Karacic F. 26. Jelenic L. 33. Hasic E. 3. Barisic B. (C) 99. Teklic T. 21. Bubanja V. 38. Colina D. 57. Akere S. 17. Jakupovic A. 34. Matkovic A.	33. Silic T. (G) 8. Sigur N. 31. Sarlija Z. 14. Raci R. 32. Hrgovic S. 6. Guillamon H. 23. Krovinovic F. 28. Brajkovic R. 21. Pukstas R. 9. Rebic A. 10. Livaja M. (C)
Substitutes
39. Bukvic D. 12. Grahovac M. (G) 48. Jezic J. 98. Jovicic M. 49. Kolarik I. 31. Malenica M. (G) 6. Mejia Moscoso D. M. 5. Mersinaj J. 8. Mikolcic S. 11. Omerovic N. 16. Petrusenko O. 42. Renan Guedes	29. Cupic M. 99. Fesyuk D. (G) 38. Hodak L. 7. Kalik A. 17. Melnjak D. 4. Pajaziti A. 11. Sego M. 36. Skelin M. 37. Skoko N. 44. Stipica D. (G)
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Garcia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Livaja M. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Sarlija Z. 🟨,
40', Rebic A. 🟨,
45+2', Bubanja V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Teklic T. ↓, Omerovic N. ↑,
51', Bubanja V. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
69', Akere S. ↓, Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↑,
69', Karacic F. ↓, Renan Guedes ↑,
73', Jelenic L. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Pukstas R. ⚽, Brajkovic R. (A),
79', Brajkovic R. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
82', Colina D. ↓, Jezic J. ↑,
88', Livaja M. ↓, Hodak L. ↑,
90+4', Omerovic N. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hajduk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hajduk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Osijek: Shopov S. (Knee Injury) Vrbancic L. (Injury)

There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I. (Inactive) Durdov B. (Inactive) Ivusic I. (Injury) Sego M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	9	19
3	Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
08.02.26	Varaždin - Osijek	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Osijek - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Osijek	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
20.12.25	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLTT
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
07.02.26	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Hajduk Split - Široki Brijeg	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Hajduk Split - Posušje	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
08.11.25	Hajduk Split - Osijek	2:0
24.08.25	Osijek - Hajduk Split	0:2
27.04.25	Osijek - Hajduk Split	2:0
22.02.25	Hajduk Split - Osijek	4:0
24.11.24	Osijek - Hajduk Split	2:2
31.08.24	Hajduk Split - Osijek	1:0
14.04.24	Hajduk Split - Osijek	1:2

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