Match Info

I Lyga - Round 26

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Žalgirio stadionas (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		Panevėžys 2

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.4	4.2
	1.41	4.85	5.15
	1.4	4.98	5.19
	1.66	4.38	3.91	Watch
	1.43	4.75	5.3
	1.51	4.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	4.64 ↓ (5)	4.69 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
61%

Draw
19.6%

Panevėžys 2
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

18.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

13.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žalgiris Vilnius 2's form might have worsened.

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Žalgiris Vilnius 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Panevėžys 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Žalgiris 2 (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Cekavicius D. (G) 3. Aleksa D. 60. Baksys T. (C) 29. Bicka K. 37. Bosancic P. 33. Klimavicius N. 44. Matyzonok P. 25. Pavilonis V. 14. Setkus M. 28. Simonavicius U. 70. Valukonis M.	13. Bukel D. (G) 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 9. Jusys A. 97. Karvatskyi A. 14. Kulbis R. 77. Laimikis L. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 30. Slobodian A. 5. van den Bos M.
Substitutes
27. Berenta V. 98. Jakubovskis D. (G) 16. Kontautas K. 42. Lukasevic K. 35. Mikelaitis G. 83. Soja A. 39. Velicka D. 40. Zederstreimas G.	31. Butkus A. 19. Fedoruk B. 21. Pusnys M. 99. Raskauskas R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Aleksa D. (Own goal),
31', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Žalgiris 2 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
26.09.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	BFA Vilnius - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Ekranas	2:4 ✺
23.08.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLL
- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
26.09.25	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:4 ✺
22.09.25	FA Šiauliai B - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Panevėžys 2 - Jonava	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:3
03.11.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Panevėžys 2	4:4
23.06.23	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2
18.09.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:3
23.05.22	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:3
17.09.21	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1
29.05.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Panevėžys 2	3:0

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