Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Adam Walton		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.95	1.38	Watch
	2.92	1.48
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.46
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.50	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.33)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
34.9%

Alex Michelsen
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adam Walton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Adam Walton - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Michelsen will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 85. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 46.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Michelsen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.52%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Arthur Gea - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Adam Walton - Dino Prizmic	1:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.26	Adam Walton - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Liam Broady - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Jason Jung - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Alex Michelsen - Rafael Jodar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL

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