Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Eliot Spizzirri		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	51	1	Watch
	20	1	Watch
	43.16	1
	17.38	1	Watch
	34	1.01	Watch
	49	1	Watch
	19	1
Avarage Now (Initially)	33.36 ↑ (31.9)	1 ↓ (1)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliot Spizzirri
2.9%

Jannik Sinner
97.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

97%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliot Spizzirri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Eliot Spizzirri - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Spizzirri will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sinner will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -10.5 Games - Sinner (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Sets - Sinner (1.15) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 25.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Spizzirri (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sinner (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 85. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.

Spizzirri is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Yibing Wu	3:2 ✺
19.01.26	Joao Fonseca - Eliot Spizzirri	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Nuno Borges - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	James Duckworth - Jannik Sinner	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	Hugo Gaston - Jannik Sinner	Gaston H. retired ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
10.01.26	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 W?LWW

Eliot Spizzirri - Jannik Sinner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide