Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chengdu 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Juncheng Shang		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.69	Watch
	1.45	2.84
	1.46	2.77	Watch
	1.43	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)	2.75 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
65.6%

Adrian Mannarino
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Juncheng Shang - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Mannarino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 253., and Mannarino is ranked ATP: 78..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Shang could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Shang carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shang has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Juncheng Shang - Marco Trungelliti	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Juncheng Shang - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Juncheng Shang - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Daniel Vallejo - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLLWW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Matisse Bobichon	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Adrian Mannarino	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
23.03.23	Adrian Mannarino - Juncheng Shang	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Lloyd Harris - Juncheng Shang	✺
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Vienna
25.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alex Molcan	✺

Juncheng Shang - Adrian Mannarino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide