Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Beijing 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:


	Ajla Tomljanovic		Jessica Pegula

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Ajla Tomljanovic
17.6%

Jessica Pegula
82.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

82.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajla Tomljanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 94. Pegula is ranked WTA: 7.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pegula is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tomljanovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
08.09.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Victoria Rodriguez	Tomljanovic A. retired ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
21.08.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Renata Zarazua - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?LLW
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
21.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
04.09.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Jessica Pegula - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

WTA Charleston
03.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0
WTA Austin
01.03.25	Jessica Pegula - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1
WTA United Cup
01.01.24	Jessica Pegula - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0

Ajla Tomljanovic - Jessica Pegula