Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Arthur Rinderknech		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.43	1.65
	2.29	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.36	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.04)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
41%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Arthur Rinderknech - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tirante will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 24. Tirante is ranked ATP: 69.

Recent form of Rinderknech has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tirante has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rinderknech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tirante will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Rinderknech - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.89%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Vit Kopriva - Arthur Rinderknech	Rinderknech A. Retired ✺
24.04.26	Dusan Lajovic - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L??WL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL

Arthur Rinderknech - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide