Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Flavio Cobolli		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.41	2.9	Watch
	1.45	3.1
	1.4	2.97	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.43	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
67.4%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.9%	0%	3.1%

Flavio Cobolli - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 3 - 60%). Tirante (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Cobolli (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.86% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tirante (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 12. Tirante is ranked ATP: 69.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Cobolli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cobolli is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cobolli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 69.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
20.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	2:1
ATP Challenger
07.07.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	1:2
28.08.21	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	1:2

Flavio Cobolli - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide