Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Dominic Stephan Stricker

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	3.09	1.41
	2.81	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.26)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
33.3%

Dominic Stephan Stricker
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Moro Canas's form might have worsened.

Dominic Stephan Stricker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dominic Stephan Stricker's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Stephan Stricker Predictions

Users Predictions: Dominic Stephan Stricker will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dominic Stephan Stricker will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 245. Stricker is ranked ATP: 373.

Moro Canas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stricker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stricker is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moro Canas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Benjamin Hassan - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW
- Dominic Stephan Stricker
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.01.26	Daniel Masur - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Sydney Zick - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Jiri Vesely - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Matej Dodig	Stricker D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.02.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Stephan Stricker	1:2

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