Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.37	3.39
	1.15	5.08	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.34	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.57)	3.58 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
73.2%

Vilius Gaubas
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yannick Hanfmann's performance.

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yannick Hanfmann that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Yannick Hanfmann - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: Yannick Hanfmann will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yannick Hanfmann will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 81. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 107.

Hanfmann is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gaubas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hanfmann might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.45%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Santiago
25.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Dusan Lajovic - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLW?
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Santiago
25.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Matias Soto - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vilius Gaubas - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Vilius Gaubas - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL

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