Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Ethan Quinn		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.34	Watch
	3.4	1.36
	2.99	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.41)	1.35 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethan Quinn
30.6%

Alejandro Tabilo
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethan Quinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethan Quinn's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Tabilo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethan Quinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Quinn is ranked ATP: 48. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 43.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Quinn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tabilo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.64%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethan Quinn
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Yibing Wu - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Reilly Opelka - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWL

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