Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Marcos Giron		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.82	Watch
	2.02	1.86
	2.08	1.70	Watch
	2	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.91)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
47.1%

Alejandro Tabilo
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Marcos Giron - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tabilo (votes: 10 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Tabilo (2.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 4 - 25%). Tabilo (votes: 12 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 48. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 72.

Recent performances by Giron have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tabilo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Tabilo will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Marcos Giron - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.25	Marcos Giron - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Marcos Giron	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
30.04.22	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2

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