Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.42	2.89	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.91)	2.93 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
67.7%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alejandro Tabilo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Tabilo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 81. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 49.

Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tabilo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Isaac Becroft - Alejandro Tabilo	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
04.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LWWL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.03.19	Alejandro Tabilo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2

Alejandro Tabilo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide