Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - Final

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	2.55 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
63.4%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alejandro Tabilo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Cerundolo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 125. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 86.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tabilo could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.17%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo	O'Connell C. retired ✺
12.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?WWWL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Billy Harris - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Daniel Evans - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Evans D. retired ✺
10.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Bar Biryukov P. retired ✺
08.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W??WL

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