Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Lloyd Harris

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
			Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.34	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.83)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
41%

Lloyd Harris
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lloyd Harris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lloyd Harris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alejandro Tabilo - Lloyd Harris Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 50%). Harris (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Harris (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Harris (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 112. Harris is ranked ATP: 258.

Recent performances by Tabilo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Harris is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Harris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Harris could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Harris will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo	O'Connell C. retired ✺
12.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WL?WW
- Lloyd Harris
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Lloyd Harris - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Lloyd Harris - Hanyi Liu	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Lloyd Harris - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 W?LWW

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