Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.34	1.62
	2.33	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.14)	1.59 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
41.1%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 109. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 182.

Kovacevic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Montpellier
26.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.01.25	Matteo Martineau - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Montpellier
26.01.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Ben Shelton - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Mensik	1:2
03.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

Upcoming Matches