Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
			Watch
	4.2	1.19	Watch
	4.96	1.21
	4.35	1.2	Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.83	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.22)	1.2 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
20.9%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
79.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Aleksandar Vukic - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 89. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 151.

Vukic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Llamas Ruiz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Llamas Ruiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Llamas Ruiz is a strong favorite.

We predict that Llamas Ruiz will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Taha Baadi	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Aleksandar Vukic - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide