Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.23
	4.37	1.25
	3.91	1.24	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.17	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.26)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
23%

Rafael Jodar
77%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rafael Jodar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Aleksandar Vukic - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 93. Jodar is ranked ATP: 109.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vukic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
19.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 ?WWWL

Upcoming Matches