Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Rafael Jodar		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.7	2.21
	1.66	2.17	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	2.08 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
55.1%

Benjamin Bonzi
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Rafael Jodar - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bonzi will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 109. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 103.

Jodar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bonzi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Terence Atmane - Rafael Jodar	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
10.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLW?W

Upcoming Matches