Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.23	Watch
	5.30	1.16	Watch
	4	1.25
	3.95	1.26	Watch
	4.5	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.28)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
21.8%

Tommy Paul
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aleksandar Vukic - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Paul will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukic: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 87. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.

Vukic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vukic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paul is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vukic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Luca Nardi - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWL
- Tommy Paul
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
28.08.25	Nuno Borges - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
26.08.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.05.19	Aleksandar Vukic - Tommy Paul	Vukic A. walkover

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