Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Arthur Fery		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.91	1.8
	1.91	1.79
	2.02	1.85
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.99	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.37)	1.83 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
48.5%

Pedro Martinez Portero
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Arthur Fery - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 153. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 141.

Fery is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martinez Portero has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martinez Portero might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Elias Ymer - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Jan Choinski - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Arthur Fery - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Arthur Fery - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Arthur Fery - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

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