Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Alex De Minaur		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.13	5.75
	1.13	6.00
	1.13	7.13
	1.16	5.17	Watch
	1.10	6.95
	1.12	7.70	Watch
	1.13	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.36)	6.41 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 35.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
85%

Adrian Mannarino
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex De Minaur's performance.

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Mannarino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex De Minaur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Mannarino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5 Games - Mannarino (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 35.5 Games - over (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - De Minaur (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 50%). Mannarino (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 40.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 5.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, De Minaur is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Roman Andres Burruchaga	3:0 ✺
ATP London
19.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Titouan Droguet	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
21.06.26	Nuno Borges - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP London
17.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur	0:2
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
05.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	3:1
ATP London
23.06.23	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	2:1
ATP Australian Open
19.01.23	Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur	1:3
ATP Atlanta
29.07.22	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	2:1
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.22	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	0:2
ATP Zhuhai
29.09.19	Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur	0:2

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