Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Jakub Mensik		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.50	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.60	Watch
	1.49	2.63	Watch
	1.52	2.73
	1.44	2.71	Watch
	1.50	2.60	Watch
	1.50	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.3)	2.65 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
64%

Adrian Mannarino
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adrian Mannarino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Jakub Mensik - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Mensik (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 17. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 46.

Mensik is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mannarino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mensik is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Roland Garros
05.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
02.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Jakub Mensik - Andrey Rublev	3:2 ✺
29.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
27.05.26	Mariano Navone - Jakub Mensik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Gabriel Diallo - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Ugo Humbert - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWL

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