Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Alex De Minaur		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.60	2.51
	1.59	2.36	Watch
	1.56	2.40	Watch
	1.56	2.50	Watch
	1.50	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	2.44 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
60.9%

Brandon Nakashima
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Minaur might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex De Minaur - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.23%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Washington
30.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Cruz Hewitt	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Flavio Cobolli	0:3 ✺
04.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Zachary Svajda	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Washington
30.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Nick Kyrgios - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Brandon Nakashima	3:2 ✺
16.07.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
19.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Antwerp
19.10.21	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2

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