Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Alex De Minaur		Hamad Medjedovic

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.42	3.14
	1.41	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	3.12 ↑ (3.09)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
69.3%

Hamad Medjedovic
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Alex De Minaur - Hamad Medjedovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Medjedovic will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Medjedovic (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Medjedovic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Playing under a closed roof.

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7. Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 88.

In recent matches, De Minaur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Medjedovic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medjedovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Minaur will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Minaur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL
- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.26	Vit Kopriva - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Alex De Minaur	1:3

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