Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.46	Watch
	2.76	1.5
	2.77	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.76	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.59)	1.46 (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
34.8%

Alex De Minaur
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 51. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tsitsipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Minaur is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:5. (average 1.9:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex De Minaur - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sebastian Korda - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
23.02.26	Patrick Kypson - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
14.05.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Acapulco
29.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Los Cabos
05.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Barcelona
21.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Miami
28.03.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2

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