Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Valentin Vacherot		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.5
	2.81	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.59	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.75)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
34.9%

Alex De Minaur
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Valentin Vacherot - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 7 - 35%). De Minaur will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex De Minaur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 23. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

Vacherot is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, De Minaur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Minaur might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWW?L
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sebastian Korda - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

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