Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Alex De Minaur		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.49	2.63
	1.51	2.46
	1.56	2.62
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.44	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	2.59 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
63.2%

Pedro Martinez Portero
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.5%	0%	14.5%

Alex De Minaur - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (71 of 83 users predict this - 85.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.97% – 93.11%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

De Minaur will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Barcelona
24.04.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
22.04.22	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
22.04.22	Alex De Minaur - Lloyd Harris	De Minaur A. retired ✺
20.04.22	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Andrey Rublev - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LW?WL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Barcelona
19.04.22	Ilya Ivashka - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
12.04.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.22	Daniil Medvedev - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

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