Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday


	Andrey Rublev		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.13	1.7	Watch
	2.21	1.75
	2.13	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.71	Watch
	2.13	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.03)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
44.6%

Alex De Minaur
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Andrey Rublev - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 25.

Both players in the last matches got series of victories.

Lehecka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Roman Safiullin - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Alex De Minaur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
16.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1
ATP Australian Open
21.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:3
ATP Paris
03.11.23	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.23	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Andrey Rublev - Alex De Minaur	2:1
ATP Next Gen Finals
07.11.18	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	3:1
ATP Washington
04.08.18	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1

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