Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Karen Khachanov		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.57	2.44	Watch
	1.58	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	2.39 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
60.2%

Alex Michelsen
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Karen Khachanov - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Michelsen will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 68.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Khachanov (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Michelsen (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 17. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 37.

Michelsen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Khachanov could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.42%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Michael Mmoh - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWW?
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mariano Navone - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
10.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
04.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	3:0

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