Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 12 January 2026, Monday
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Mariano Navone |
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Alex Michelsen |
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- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mariano Navone
27.4% | Alex Michelsen
72.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.Mariano Navone - Alex Michelsen Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 Sets - Navone (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +4.5 Games - Navone (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alex Michelsen will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Michelsen (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Navone is ranked ATP: 72. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 37.Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Michelsen is the team to beat. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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