Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Daniil Medvedev		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.28	3.7
	1.31	3.85
	1.31	3.61	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.31	3.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.22)	3.7 ↓ (4.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
74%

Alex Michelsen
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Michelsen (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Medvedev (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 3 - 75%). Michelsen (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 44.

Medvedev has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Michelsen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Medvedev is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 77.66%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Tallon Griekspoor	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
27.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WW?WW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Ugo Humbert - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
10.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0
ATP Halle
20.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev	Michelsen A. retired

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