Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Newport (USA), grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5


	Alex Michelsen		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.91
	1.47	2.77	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.77	Watch
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	2.79 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
65.8%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Alex Michelsen - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Michelsen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Newport
17.07.24	Alex Michelsen - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Lloyd Harris - Alex Michelsen	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.24	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
25.06.24	Adrian Mannarino - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
23.06.24	Nuno Borges - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Newport
17.07.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
15.07.24	Harold Mayot - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Henry Searle	1:2 ✺
ATP London
15.06.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
21.05.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alex Michelsen	1:2
ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Alex Michelsen - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0

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