Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Alex Michelsen		Borna Coric

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45
	1.44	2.6
	1.5	2.63
	1.52	2.61	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)	2.58 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
63.6%

Borna Coric
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Borna Coric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borna Coric might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borna Coric than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Alex Michelsen - Borna Coric Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 49. Coric is ranked ATP: 98.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Michelsen will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Alex Michelsen - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex Michelsen	3:0 ✺
27.08.24	Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Michelsen	Carreno-Busta P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWL?
- Borna Coric
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Borna Coric - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Borna Coric	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Borna Coric - Adrian Mannarino	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Borna Coric - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Sebastian Baez - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

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