Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday


	Daniel Evans		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	3.43	1.36
			Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.27	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.02)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
28.7%

Tommy Paul
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Paul will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Evans (votes: 3 - 60%). Paul (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Evans (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Evans (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Paul (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Evans is ranked ATP: 170. Paul is ranked ATP: 13.

Evans has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paul is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paul is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Paul will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Evans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.25	Daniel Evans - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP London
18.06.25	Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.25	Daniel Evans - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.25	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
01.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
30.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
28.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
25.05.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
12.08.22	Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul	2:1

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