Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4 (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Romao M. (Por)


	Alex Michelsen		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	2.04	1.81
	2.04	1.81
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	1.88	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)	1.82 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
48.6%

Henrique Rocha
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alex Michelsen - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rocha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Roma
08.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.24	Alex Michelsen - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
10.05.24	Henrique Rocha - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Leandro Riedi - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Martin Krumich - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Henrique Rocha - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Ugo Blanchet - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLL

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