Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Alex Molcan		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.00	1.24
	4.30	1.22	Watch
	3.87	1.24	Watch
	4.15	1.25
	4.34	1.23	Watch
	4.05	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.29)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
22.9%

Karen Khachanov
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Molcan's form might have worsened.

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Molcan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alex Molcan - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Khachanov will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 96., and Khachanov is ranked ATP: 26..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Khachanov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Khachanov carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Molcan has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.68%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Beijing
30.09.26	Alex Molcan - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled ✺
29.09.26	Marco Trungelliti - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Alex Molcan - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?WWLW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	3:0 ✺
09.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Blockx	Blockx A. Retired ✺
07.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Learner Tien	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
18.05.22	Karen Khachanov - Alex Molcan	0:2

Upcoming Matches