Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alex Molcan		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	3.1	1.35	Watch
	3.22	1.41
	3.2	1.37	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.17	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.85)	1.38 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
30.6%

Ben Shelton
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Molcan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ben Shelton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Alex Molcan - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: Ben Shelton will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 166. Shelton is ranked ATP: 6.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shelton is the team to beat.

We predict that Shelton will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ben Shelton - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.74%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Alex Molcan - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Emilio Nava - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex Molcan	Carballes Baena R. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWW?
- Ben Shelton
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Emilio Nava - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.26	Ben Shelton - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Ben Shelton - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

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