Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA (SLOVAKIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 16 June 2023, Friday


	Alex Molcan		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.81	1.98
	1.88	2.01
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.8	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.2)	1.95 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
51.8%

Tomas Machac
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Molcan's performance.

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Machac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Machac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Alex Molcan - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Machac will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Molcan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Machac is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Molcan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Molcan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Alex Molcan - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
13.06.23	Alex Molcan - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.23	Alexander Zverev - Alex Molcan	3:0 ✺
30.05.23	Hugo Gaston - Alex Molcan	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.23	Andrey Rublev - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL
- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Zdenek Kolar - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
13.06.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
10.06.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Francisco Comesana - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Tomas Machac - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.08.21	Alex Molcan - Tomas Machac	2:0
Exhibition O pohar pratelstvi Men
05.07.20	Alex Molcan - Tomas Machac	2:1
ATP Challenger
02.08.19	Alex Molcan - Tomas Machac	0:2

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