Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Alexander Bublik		Marton Fucsovics

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.6	Watch
	1.19	4.72	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.19	4.88	Watch
	1.16	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.29)	4.74 ↑ (3.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
79.9%

Marton Fucsovics
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.

Marton Fucsovics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marton Fucsovics might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Alexander Bublik - Marton Fucsovics Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Sets - Fucsovics (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5 Games - Bublik (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Fucsovics (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 10. Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 54.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 4.

Bublik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bublik is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Alexander Bublik - Jenson Brooksby	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
11.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW
- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marton Fucsovics	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Ethan Quinn - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Marton Fucsovics - Tristan Schoolkate	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
21.02.24	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.22	Alexander Bublik - Marton Fucsovics	3:0
ATP Madrid
02.05.21	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Marseille
17.02.20	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Challenger
28.09.17	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Bublik	2:1
08.05.17	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Bublik	1:2

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